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UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$547,225

O/U 1.5 Rounds

 - Polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,921
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$539,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pico to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Pico to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$592
Settled
No
kalshi

Patricio Pitbull to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
$396
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Pico to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
kalshi

Patricio Pitbull to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Pico to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
kalshi

Patricio Pitbull to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pitbull to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This market will resolve to "Patricio Pitbull" if Patricio Pitbull is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aaron Pico at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on fight outcome across all three rounds (winner in any round), while Polymarket offers multiple independent markets covering fight distance, method of victory, and round duration thresholds.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a simple winner determination (any round, any method). On Polymarket, you can isolate specific outcomes: distance (judges' decision), method (KO/TKO vs submission), and round duration. Kalshi's market will resolve YES for any decisive outcome in Rounds 1–3; Polymarket's markets are granular and may resolve differently depending on fight circumstances (e.g., a Round 1 KO resolves YES on Polymarket's KO/TKO market but does NOT resolve YES on the 'Fight to Go the Distance' market).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi collapses all fight outcomes into a single binary: the market resolves YES if either fighter wins in any of the three scheduled rounds, regardless of method (KO/TKO, submission, or judges' decision). The rules state 'If Patricio Pitbull wins...in Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes' through Round 3, and identically for Aaron Pico, with no distinction by finish method.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets, each with independent resolution logic: (1) Fight to Go the Distance (judges' decision after all rounds), (2) Over/Under 1.5 Rounds, (3) Head-to-head winner (Pitbull vs Pico, 50-50 on draw/no contest), (4) KO/TKO finish (any fighter), (5) Pitbull KO/TKO win, (6) Pico KO/TKO win, (7) Submission finish, (8) Over/Under 0.5 Rounds, and (9) Over/Under 2.5 Rounds. Each market has distinct resolution criteria: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the fight...goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards' for distance; 'Over if the fight...lasts beyond the listed round threshold' for duration markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.