TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Description
This market will resolve to "Johnny Walker" if Johnny Walker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on any fight outcome across all three rounds (winner by any method in R1, R2, or R3), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets each with specific resolution criteria (fight distance, method of victory, overall winner). The platforms do not directly contradict each other but measure different aspects of the event.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is a catch-all binary (did anyone win in any round?), while Polymarket's markets are granular outcome-specific bets. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a fight result occurring; on Polymarket, you are betting on specific fight characteristics (distance, method, winner). These are complementary, not contradictory, but they will not resolve identically in all scenarios—for example, a draw or no-contest resolves 50-50 on Polymarket but may have different implications on Kalshi depending on how the fight concludes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves YES if either fighter wins by any method (KO/TKO, submission, or decision) in any round (R1, R2, or R3). The market does not explicitly address draws, no-contests, or cancellations; it only specifies six winning scenarios covering both fighters across all three rounds.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets, each with specific resolution criteria: (1) Fight to Go the Distance (judges' decision after all rounds), (2) Dominick Reyes wins by KO/TKO, (3) Overall winner (Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes), (4) Johnny Walker wins by KO/TKO, (5) Fight ends by submission, (6) Fight ends by KO/TKO (either fighter). All Polymarket markets include explicit 50-50 resolution for no-contest, cancellation beyond April 25, 2026, or postponement.
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