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UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$824,331

Fight to Go the Distance?

 - Polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$738,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Johnny Walker to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,392
N/A
N/A
$8,353
Settled
No
kalshi

Johnny Walker to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,703
N/A
N/A
$7,553
Settled
No
kalshi

Johnny Walker to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,201
N/A
N/A
$7,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Dominick Reyes to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,266
N/A
N/A
$6,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Dominick Reyes to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,806
N/A
N/A
$5,571
Settled
No
kalshi

Dominick Reyes to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,112
N/A
N/A
$3,110
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Reyes to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Walker to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This market will resolve to "Johnny Walker" if Johnny Walker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on any fight outcome across all three rounds (winner by any method in R1, R2, or R3), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets each with specific resolution criteria (fight distance, method of victory, overall winner). The platforms do not directly contradict each other but measure different aspects of the event.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is a catch-all binary (did anyone win in any round?), while Polymarket's markets are granular outcome-specific bets. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a fight result occurring; on Polymarket, you are betting on specific fight characteristics (distance, method, winner). These are complementary, not contradictory, but they will not resolve identically in all scenarios—for example, a draw or no-contest resolves 50-50 on Polymarket but may have different implications on Kalshi depending on how the fight concludes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves YES if either fighter wins by any method (KO/TKO, submission, or decision) in any round (R1, R2, or R3). The market does not explicitly address draws, no-contests, or cancellations; it only specifies six winning scenarios covering both fighters across all three rounds.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets, each with specific resolution criteria: (1) Fight to Go the Distance (judges' decision after all rounds), (2) Dominick Reyes wins by KO/TKO, (3) Overall winner (Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes), (4) Johnny Walker wins by KO/TKO, (5) Fight ends by submission, (6) Fight ends by KO/TKO (either fighter). All Polymarket markets include explicit 50-50 resolution for no-contest, cancellation beyond April 25, 2026, or postponement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.