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UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,668,758

Fight to Go the Distance?

 - Polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,620,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Curtis Blaydes to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,759
N/A
N/A
$11,759
Settled
No
kalshi

Curtis Blaydes to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,692
N/A
N/A
$6,667
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Hokit to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,362
N/A
N/A
$2,362
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Hokit to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,574
N/A
N/A
$1,574
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Hokit to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
$1,140
Settled
No
kalshi

Curtis Blaydes to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,074
N/A
N/A
$1,074
Settled
No
polymarket

Hokit to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Blaydes to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This market will resolve to "Curtis Blaydes" if Curtis Blaydes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Josh Hokit at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Josh Hokit" if Josh Hokit is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes. Kalshi offers six binary markets covering all possible fight outcomes (any winner, any round), while Polymarket offers six categorical/binary markets focused on specific finish types (KO/TKO, submission, decision) and fight duration. The platforms resolve on the same underlying UFC official result but organize and segment the betting outcomes differently.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on round-specific outcomes (e.g., 'Blaydes wins in Round 2'). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on finish method or duration (e.g., 'fight ends by KO/TKO' or 'goes the distance'). A single UFC result will trigger different market resolutions on each platform. Ensure your position aligns with the finish type and duration you expect, not just the winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures six binary YES/NO markets, each resolving YES if a specific fighter wins in a specific round (Round 1, 2, or 3). All six markets collectively cover every possible fight outcome. Each market asks 'Does [Fighter] win in [Round]?' with no consideration of finish method or duration. Key quote: 'If Curtis Blaydes wins the Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit UFC fight originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 in Round 2, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures six markets organized by finish type (KO/TKO, submission, decision/distance) and a head-to-head winner market. Markets explicitly define resolution based on how the fight ends (method and duration), not just who wins. Draws, disqualifications, and no-contests resolve to 50-50. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the fight between Curtis Blaydes and Josh Hokit at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.