TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
polymarket
kalshi

UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa

Volume:
$110,423

Almeria

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 10, 2026

Closed: Mar 9, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Almeria

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,607
N/A
N/A
$36,136
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UD Almería

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cultural Leonesa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,469
N/A
N/A
$13,532
Settled
No
polymarket

Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,839
N/A
N/A
$5,044
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) soccer match between UD Almería and Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa scheduled for March 9, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: Almería win, draw, and Leonesa win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that resolves to YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while all other markets (Polymarket win markets and all Kalshi markets) resolve to NO in the same scenario. This creates a logical inconsistency in how cancellation is treated across the market group.Hero tip: Monitor La Liga 2 official announcements for any cancellation or postponement notices. If cancellation occurs, the Polymarket draw market will resolve YES while Almería and Leonesa win markets resolve NO. This divergence makes the draw market a hedge against cancellation risk, unlike the win markets. Traders should account for this asymmetry when positioning across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Almería Win (resolves YES if Almería wins, NO otherwise including cancellation), Draw (resolves YES if draw OR if game canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Leonesa Win (resolves YES if Leonesa wins, NO otherwise including cancellation). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets that collectively cover all possible match results (Tie, Almería Win, Cultural Leonesa Win), each resolving YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard sports market convention would treat cancellation as market void or NO resolution. Implicit logic: all three markets resolve YES only if the match is completed and produces that specific result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.