TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans
polymarket
kalshi

UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans

Volume:
$342,807

UCLA wins by over 5.5 Points

 - Kalshi

UCLA wins by over 5.5 Points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 5.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99,317
N/A
N/A
$71,150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 7.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,125
N/A
N/A
$30,113
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 20.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,666
N/A
N/A
$14,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 11.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,656
N/A
N/A
$23,293
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 4.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,465
N/A
N/A
$13,840
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 10.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,483
N/A
N/A
$6,812
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 2.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,019
N/A
N/A
$12,703
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 14.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,730
N/A
N/A
$11,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 17.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,416
N/A
N/A
$8,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 8.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,964
N/A
N/A
$7,131
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 5.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 2.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$760
N/A
N/A
$750
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 149.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 1.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
$456
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 150.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 151.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 11.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$759
N/A
N/A
$709
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 1.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 4.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 8.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
$452
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 17.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$379
N/A
N/A
$329
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 10.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
$377
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group covers the UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans men's college basketball game scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, point spread variants, and over/under totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi differ in market scope (moneyline + spreads + totals vs. spreads only) and cancellation/postponement handling. Kalshi lacks explicit edge-case language that Polymarket provides.Hero tip: Traders should verify Kalshi's postponement and cancellation policy directly with the platform. Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation rule is explicit and clear; Kalshi's absence of such language introduces settlement ambiguity. Use Polymarket moneyline as primary reference for game outcome; use spread markets to validate margin thresholds across both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers moneyline (UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans), two spread markets (UCLA -6.5 and -5.5), and three over/under totals (O/U 149.5, 150.5, 151.5). All markets explicitly state: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Provides 22 binary spread/margin markets covering outcomes where UCLA or USC wins by specified margins (1.5 to 20.5 points in 1-point increments). No explicit language on postponement or cancellation handling. Resolution based on final score including overtime (implied).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.