TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UCLA Bruins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
Volume:
$2,428,317
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UCLA Bruins and Minnesota Golden Gophers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Minnesota. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (UCLA -1.5), and over/under total (135.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Minnesota win and UCLA win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly maps outcomes to distinct resolution values.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market based on current terms - request clarification from Kalshi support immediately. The market structure violates basic binary logic. Use Polymarket moneyline as the authoritative reference. Spread and totals markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Minnesota wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If UCLA wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility with no valid No resolution path. Quote: 'If Minnesota wins the UCLA at Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCLA wins the UCLA at Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly implements binary logic: UCLA win resolves to 'UCLA Bruins', Minnesota win resolves to 'Minnesota Golden Gophers', with 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the UCLA Bruins win, the market will resolve to UCLA Bruins. If the Minnesota Golden Gophers win, the market will resolve to Minnesota Golden Gophers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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