TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines
Volume:
$2,120,151
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines men's college basketball game scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UCLA win and Michigan win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. All other markets (Polymarket moneyline, all spreads, all totals) are logically sound and use consistent resolution: final score including overtime, with 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup. Postponed games remain open until completion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both UCLA win AND Michigan win outcomes, creating logical impossibility. Spreads and totals on Kalshi are not provided in source data. Quote: 'If UCLA wins...resolves to Yes. If Michigan wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to mutually exclusive outcomes: UCLA Bruins or Michigan Wolverines. Spreads and totals use consistent threshold logic (e.g., Michigan -15.5 resolves to Michigan if win by 16+, otherwise UCLA). All markets handle postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the UCLA Bruins win, the market will resolve to UCLA Bruins. If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to Michigan Wolverines.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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