TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
Volume:
$630,255
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UCF Knights and West Virginia Mountaineers scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under totals at two different thresholds (139.5 and 141.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline resolves Yes for any game completion regardless of winner, while Polymarket's moneyline resolves to the specific winning team. The spread and over/under markets are consistent across platforms.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket moneylines as fundamentally different products. Kalshi appears to be betting on game completion; Polymarket is betting on the winner. The spread and totals markets are safe to cross-reference for consistency. Always verify the exact market structure before placing hedges.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline resolves Yes if either team wins (game completion market). Both West Virginia and UCF outcomes trigger Yes resolution. This is a binary Yes/No structure, not a winner-specific market.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team name (UCF Knights or West Virginia Mountaineers). Standard winner-take-all college basketball market with 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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