A college basketball game between UCF Knights and Utah Utes scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 for both teams), and multiple over/under totals (152.5, 153.5, 154.5, 155.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both UCF win and Utah win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate on a different platform with independent resolution procedures.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the contradiction is resolved. Use Polymarket as your primary source for this matchup. Verify the actual Kalshi market text with support—this appears to be a documentation error where the No outcome was omitted.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (UCF Knights or Utah Utes). Spreads require 2+ point margin. O/Us use combined score thresholds (152.5, 153.5, 154.5, 155.5). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. All markets include overtime in final score.
Kalshi: Moneyline states both outcomes (Utah wins OR UCF wins) resolve to Yes—a logical impossibility. No resolution outcome is defined for either team, making the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.