TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies
Volume:
$319,617
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies men's college basketball game scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-4.5 and -5.5), and over/under totals (ranging from 139.5 to 157.5 points). The core resolution depends on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Over/Under threshold interpretation differs between platforms. Kalshi uses strict greater-than (>) comparison with X.5 thresholds, while Polymarket uses greater-than-or-equal (>=) comparison at X+1 integer points. Kalshi offers 12 distinct O/U markets; Polymarket offers only 3.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket O/U markets are equivalent. A final score of 140 points triggers Yes on Kalshi 139.5 but Under on Polymarket 140.5. Always verify the exact final score and apply each platform's specific resolution rule independently. Boundary scores (139, 140, 141, 142, 143) are highest risk for divergent outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 12 over/under markets with thresholds 124.5, 127.5, 130.5, 133.5, 136.5, 139.5, 142.5, 145.5, 148.5, 151.5, 154.5, 157.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score > threshold (strict greater-than). Example: O/U 139.5 resolves Yes if final score is 140 or higher. Key Quote: 'If UC Santa Barbara and UC Davis collectively score over 139.5 total points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: 3 over/under markets at 139.5, 140.5, 142.5. Each resolves Over if combined score >= threshold+1 (e.g., O/U 139.5 resolves Over if 140+). Moneyline resolves to winner; spreads (-4.5, -5.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos and UC Davis Aggies combine to score 140 or more points.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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