TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Volume:
$3,399,367
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between UC Santa Barbara Gauchos and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at various thresholds (-3.5, -4.5), and total points over/under at multiple lines (145.5, 146.5, 147.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UC Santa Barbara win and Hawaii win) are stated to resolve to the same outcome (Yes), making the contract fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket contracts are logically coherent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi contract in its current form. The resolution logic is broken and cannot differentiate between the two teams winning. Focus trading activity on Polymarket contracts, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the market description contains a transcription error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winning team name; spreads resolve based on margin (Hawaii -3.5 requires 4+ point win, Hawaii -4.5 requires 5+ point win); Over/Under markets resolve on combined points vs. thresholds of 145.5, 146.5, or 147.5. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Market description states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If UC Santa Barbara wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Hawai'i wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that prevents proper settlement. No clear tie-breaking or cancellation protocol is specified. Key quote: Both conditional branches point to identical resolution outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.