TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
Volume:
$1,073,748
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between UC Santa Barbara Gauchos and Cal Poly Mustangs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread, and total points scored across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UC Santa Barbara win and Cal Poly win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable as written. Focus on Polymarket's moneyline, spread (-4.5, -3.5), and totals (159.5, 160.5) markets, which all follow standard binary resolution logic with clear thresholds and edge case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If UC Santa Barbara wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cal Poly wins... resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. The market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'UC Santa Barbara Gauchos' if they win, or 'Cal Poly Mustangs' if Cal Poly wins. Spread markets (-4.5 and -3.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (5+ points and 4+ points respectively). Totals (159.5 and 160.5) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold. All include postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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