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406,065

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2,692

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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
kalshi
polymarket

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs

Volume:
$1,073,748

Cal Poly

 - Kalshi

Cal Poly - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cal Poly

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$7,683
$293,637
N/A
N/A
$208,973
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UC Santa Barbara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$9,387
$662,190
N/A
N/A
$446,314
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 159.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56,650
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 160.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,846
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,592
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,696
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between UC Santa Barbara Gauchos and Cal Poly Mustangs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread, and total points scored across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UC Santa Barbara win and Cal Poly win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable as written. Focus on Polymarket's moneyline, spread (-4.5, -3.5), and totals (159.5, 160.5) markets, which all follow standard binary resolution logic with clear thresholds and edge case handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If UC Santa Barbara wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cal Poly wins... resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. The market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'UC Santa Barbara Gauchos' if they win, or 'Cal Poly Mustangs' if Cal Poly wins. Spread markets (-4.5 and -3.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (5+ points and 4+ points respectively). Totals (159.5 and 160.5) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold. All include postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.