This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UC Riverside Highlanders and UC Davis Aggies scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UC Riverside win or UC Davis win) are specified to resolve to YES, making the market a tautology rather than a true binary event. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The Polymarket version is logically sound: one team wins and the market resolves to that team's name, or the game is canceled and resolves 50-50. Use Polymarket as your reference market.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. UC Riverside victory resolves to UC Riverside Highlanders, UC Davis victory resolves to UC Davis Aggies. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Defective resolution logic. Both outcomes (UC Riverside win and UC Davis win) are mapped to YES resolution, creating a logical contradiction. Market will resolve YES regardless of actual game result, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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