TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Cal Poly Mustangs (W)
Volume:
$162,618
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UC Irvine Anteaters and Cal Poly Mustangs scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UC Irvine win and Cal Poly win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the market terms are clarified. The Polymarket version has coherent binary logic. Request explicit confirmation from Kalshi whether the Cal Poly win condition should resolve to No, or if the market structure is different than described.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolutions. UC Irvine victory resolves to UC Irvine Anteaters, Cal Poly victory resolves to Cal Poly Mustangs. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Stated as Yes/No market but both game outcomes are mapped to Yes resolution. UC Irvine win = Yes, Cal Poly win = Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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