TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Irvine Anteaters
Volume:
$145,703
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UC Davis Aggies and UC Irvine Anteaters scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Over/Under threshold fragmentation across platforms and inconsistent treatment of cancellation/postponement scenarios. Kalshi provides 12 granular thresholds with no explicit edge-case guidance; Polymarket offers two thresholds with clear postponement and cancellation protocols.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket over/under markets are interchangeable. Kalshi's lower thresholds (e.g., over 128.5) resolve Yes more easily than Polymarket's higher thresholds (e.g., 146+). Always cross-reference the final combined score from NCAA.com. If the game is postponed or canceled, only Polymarket explicitly resolves 50-50; Kalshi's guidance is absent, creating settlement risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Twelve separate over/under markets with thresholds: 128.5, 131.5, 134.5, 137.5, 140.5, 143.5, 146.5, 149.5, 152.5, 155.5, 158.5, 161.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score is strictly greater than the threshold. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause.
- Polymarket: Two over/under markets: O/U 145.5 (resolves Over if combined score is 146 or more) and O/U 146.5 (resolves Over if combined score is 147 or more). Explicitly states that postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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