TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beach
Volume:
$1,165,700
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between UC Davis Aggies and Long Beach State Beach scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 and -2.5), and over/under (150.5 total points) outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (UC Davis win and Long Beach State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to determine a unique winner. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It cannot be resolved. Focus on Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals, which all use consistent and resolvable logic. For edge cases (postponement, cancellation), Polymarket explicitly handles these; Kalshi's broken moneyline offers no guidance.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market suffers from logical contradiction. Both 'Long Beach St. wins' and 'UC Davis wins' conditions resolve to Yes, creating an impossible scenario where a single game outcome cannot be uniquely determined. Key Quote: 'If Long Beach St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If UC Davis wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline, spread, and total markets all use proper binary or categorical resolution. Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve to team name based on margin threshold; totals resolve to Over/Under. All include postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key Quote: 'If the UC Davis Aggies win, the market will resolve to UC Davis Aggies. If the Long Beach State Beach win, the market will resolve to Long Beach State Beach.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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