TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beach
kalshi
polymarket

UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beach

Volume:
$1,165,700

UC Davis

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 6, 2026

Closed: Mar 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UC Davis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$774,180
N/A
N/A
$569,837
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beach

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Long Beach St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$322,149
N/A
N/A
$218,790
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 150.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between UC Davis Aggies and Long Beach State Beach scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 and -2.5), and over/under (150.5 total points) outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (UC Davis win and Long Beach State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to determine a unique winner. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and properly structured.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It cannot be resolved. Focus on Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals, which all use consistent and resolvable logic. For edge cases (postponement, cancellation), Polymarket explicitly handles these; Kalshi's broken moneyline offers no guidance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market suffers from logical contradiction. Both 'Long Beach St. wins' and 'UC Davis wins' conditions resolve to Yes, creating an impossible scenario where a single game outcome cannot be uniquely determined. Key Quote: 'If Long Beach St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If UC Davis wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline, spread, and total markets all use proper binary or categorical resolution. Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve to team name based on margin threshold; totals resolve to Over/Under. All include postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key Quote: 'If the UC Davis Aggies win, the market will resolve to UC Davis Aggies. If the Long Beach State Beach win, the market will resolve to Long Beach State Beach.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.