TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UAB Blazers vs. Memphis Tigers (W)
Volume:
$634,798
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the women's college basketball game between UAB Blazers and Memphis Tigers scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Memphis. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/No framework resolves to Yes for both UAB and Memphis victories, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket uses a proper categorical framework that resolves to the actual winner.Hero Tip:
This is a critical structural flaw on Kalshi. Both possible game outcomes (UAB win or Memphis win) resolve to Yes, which means the market cannot function as a prediction instrument. Use Polymarket's categorical market for actual price discovery. Contact Kalshi support to clarify if this is a documentation error or a genuine market design issue before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No resolution that maps both UAB victory and Memphis victory to Yes. Quote: 'If UAB wins...resolves to Yes. If Memphis wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautological resolution where all game outcomes produce the same market result.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution that differentiates outcomes by team. Quote: 'If UAB Blazers win, resolves to UAB Blazers. If Memphis Tigers win, resolves to Memphis Tigers.' Includes provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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