This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Tulsa Golden Hurricane and East Carolina Pirates scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -9.5 and -8.5, and over/under totals at 156.5 and 155.5 points.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Tulsa win or East Carolina win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until clarification is received from the platform. The spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent. If forced to settle Kalshi's moneyline, request platform guidance on whether the losing team should resolve to No.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Tulsa wins, resolves to Yes. If East Carolina wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution value.
Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If Tulsa wins, resolves to Tulsa Golden Hurricane. If East Carolina wins, resolves to East Carolina Pirates. Mutually exclusive outcomes with 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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