A college basketball game between Tulane Green Wave and North Texas Mean Green scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-6.5 North Texas), and two over/under totals (137.5 and 136.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (North Texas win and Tulane win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline unless clarification is provided. The market as written cannot distinguish between outcomes. Use Polymarket moneyline as the authoritative winner determination. Spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and resolvable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If North Texas wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tulane wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No distinction between winning and losing outcomes.
Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly states: 'If Tulane wins, resolve to Tulane Green Wave' and 'If North Texas wins, resolve to North Texas Mean Green'. Outcomes are mutually exclusive and properly distinguished. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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