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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg
kalshi
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg

Volume:
$1,215,526

Draw (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg)

 - Polymarket

Draw (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 10:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$409
N/A
N/A
$379
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$968,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

VfL Wolfsburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,429
N/A
N/A
$14,386
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,563
N/A
N/A
$2,861
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,148
N/A
N/A
$1,101
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga match between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms with differing resolution scopes and edge-case handling.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's cancellation rules diverge between the draw market (resolves Yes on cancellation) and win markets (resolve No on cancellation). Kalshi's goals markets do not address cancellation or postponement scenarios. All platforms agree on the 90-minute + stoppage time window, but edge-case handling is fragmented.Hero tip: Before March 14, 2026, confirm with each platform whether a canceled match triggers their stated resolution rules. The draw market on Polymarket has asymmetric risk: it benefits from cancellation while win markets do not. Consider this when sizing positions across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Wolfsburg Win (resolves No on cancellation), Hoffenheim Win (resolves No on cancellation), and Draw (resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up). All reference 90 minutes + stoppage time. Primary source is official Bundesliga statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Four markets on total goals thresholds (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5). All specify 90 minutes + stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. No explicit guidance on postponement or cancellation; resolution source not stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.