TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
Volume:
$4,227,299
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Portland Trail Blazers vs. Phoenix Suns NBA game scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads (full game and first half), over/under totals at multiple thresholds, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists) for key players from both teams.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs strict mathematical "greater than" (>) logic for all over/under thresholds, while Polymarket uses inclusive "or more" language with explicit point values. This creates potential settlement misalignment at exact threshold boundaries.Hero Tip:
Monitor the final combined score closely. If it lands exactly on a Kalshi threshold (207.5, 210.5, 213.5, 216.5, 219.5, 222.5, 225.5, 228.5, 231.5, 234.5, 237.5), verify both platforms' settlement logic independently. Kalshi requires the score to exceed the threshold; Polymarket requires it to meet or exceed the stated point total. For spreads and moneylines, both platforms are consistent: official NBA.com final score (including overtime) determines all outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 11 over/under markets all use strict mathematical "greater than" thresholds (>228.5, >234.5, >231.5, >237.5, >207.5, >225.5, >222.5, >219.5, >213.5, >210.5, >216.5). Resolves Yes only if combined score strictly exceeds the stated value. Example: >225.5 requires 226+ points.
- Polymarket: Four over/under markets use inclusive language: O/U 225.5 resolves Over at 226+, O/U 223.5 at 224+, O/U 222.5 at 223+, O/U 221.5 at 222+. Also includes moneyline (Trail Blazers vs. Suns), two spread markets (Suns -2.5, Trail Blazers -3.5 and -4.5), first-half moneyline, first-half spread (-2.5 and -1.5), first-half O/U 114.5, and 26 player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists). All resolve via official NBA.com box score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.