TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 19 at 9:00PM ET: If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken: both outcomes (Portland wins OR San Antonio wins) resolve to Yes, making the market logically impossible to resolve correctly. Polymarket markets use standard, resolvable logic. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely—it cannot resolve properly. Trade Polymarket markets instead, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. If you hold Kalshi exposure, flag this for immediate cancellation or clarification with the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states: 'If Portland wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If San Antonio wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome resolves to Yes, violating basic market design. No resolution path exists for a No outcome.
- Polymarket: Polymarket offers multiple well-defined markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Spread market resolves Spurs if they win by 11+, otherwise Trail Blazers; (2) Moneyline resolves Trail Blazers if winning at halftime, Spurs if winning at halftime, 50-50 if tied; (3) Player prop markets resolve Yes/No based on stat thresholds with clear boundaries (e.g., 'more than 24.5 points' = Yes, '24.5 or fewer' = No). All Polymarket logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
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