TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Volume:
$17,582,581
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 8 at 9:30PM ET: If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi's market resolves YES if EITHER team wins (both San Antonio OR Portland), making it logically impossible to resolve NO. Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets (moneyline, spread, totals, player props) each with proper binary or ternary outcomes. Kalshi's market structure is internally contradictory and unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely — it is logically broken. The statement 'If San Antonio wins...resolve YES' AND 'If Portland wins...resolve NO' would be correct, but Kalshi states both resolve to YES, meaning every outcome triggers YES. Trade only on Polymarket, which offers coherent, resolvable markets with clear win/loss/tie conditions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction. Both resolution conditions state 'resolves to Yes': 'If San Antonio wins the Portland at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Portland wins the Portland at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome (San Antonio win or Portland win) triggers YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. The market is unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market design: Polymarket offers multiple coherent markets. The moneyline resolves to 'Trail Blazers' if Portland wins, 'Spurs' if San Antonio wins, with 50-50 tie-breaking for cancellation. The spread market (Spurs -3.5) resolves to 'Spurs' if they win by 4+ points, otherwise 'Trail Blazers'. Over/Under markets (236.5, 235.5, 234.5, etc.) resolve based on combined final score thresholds. Player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve YES/NO based on individual stat thresholds, with NO if the player is inactive. All markets include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) clauses. Each market has a clear, binary or ternary outcome structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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