TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK
Volume:
$308,442
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Turkish Super Lig professional soccer match between Trabzonspor and Fenerbahçe SK scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess whether Trabzonspor wins, Fenerbahçe wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket asymmetrically resolves the draw market to Yes if the game is canceled entirely, but resolves win markets to No.Hero Tip:
Monitor TFF.org for postponement notices. If the game is canceled, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No—a profitable signal if you hold draw positions. Kalshi's lack of cancellation guidance means you should seek clarification from their support team before February 14, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Treats Trabzonspor win, tie, and Fenerbahçe win as three separate Yes/No outcomes. All resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Logic assumes game will be completed as scheduled.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Trabzonspor win (Yes if Trabzonspor wins, No otherwise), Fenerbahçe win (Yes if Fenerbahçe wins, No otherwise), and draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise). Postponement keeps markets open. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Trabzonspor and Fenerbahçe markets to No, but resolves draw market to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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