TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe (W)
Volume:
$20,654
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Towson Tigers and William & Mary Tribe on February 15 at 1:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Towson win and William & Mary win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket's criteria is logically sound with clear outcome mapping and edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected or clarified by the platform. The market cannot settle as currently written. Polymarket offers a resolvable alternative with explicit rules for postponement and cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes resolve to Yes - creates logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Towson wins...then Yes. If William & Mary wins...then Yes.' No mechanism to distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
- Polymarket: Clear binary outcome mapping: Towson win resolves to 'Towson Tigers', William & Mary win resolves to 'William & Mary Tribe'. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Quote: 'If the Towson Tigers win, the market will resolve to Towson Tigers. If the William & Mary Tribe win, the market will resolve to William & Mary Tribe.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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