TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille
Volume:
$821,870
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 professional soccer match between Toulouse FC and Olympique de Marseille scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Toulouse win, a Marseille win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi employ identical resolution logic: match outcome determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three mutually exclusive outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 statistics (ligue1.com); fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome resolved based on result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Toulouse win market resolves Yes if Toulouse scores more goals than Marseille; otherwise No.
- Marseille win market resolves Yes if Marseille scores more goals than Toulouse; otherwise No.
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No.
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Toulouse and Marseille win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a rescheduled date.
- Cancellation without makeup: Toulouse win and Marseille win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes.
- Official statistics delay: If Ligue 1 does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
- Scope of play: Only the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published by Ligue 1 (or within 2 hours thereafter if consensus reporting is required).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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