TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient - Halftime Result
Volume:
$588
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient Ligue 1 match scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets assess whether Toulouse leads, Lorient leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's single market contains a logical contradiction: it specifies that all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (Toulouse win, tie, Lorient win) resolve to Yes, making the contract unresolvable and worthless as a prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It violates basic binary contract logic and will resolve to Yes with certainty, regardless of the actual halftime result. Trade only Polymarket's three separate markets: Toulouse Leading at Halftime, Draw at Halftime, and Lorient Leading at Halftime, which each have proper Yes/No exclusivity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution branches, all resolving to Yes. Kalshi states: If Toulouse wins, Yes. If Tie, Yes. If Lorient wins, Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes, rendering it logically incoherent and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Toulouse Leading resolves Yes only if Toulouse leads at halftime, otherwise No. Draw resolves Yes only if tied, otherwise No. Lorient Leading resolves Yes only if Lorient leads, otherwise No. Each market has proper binary logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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