TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient
kalshi
polymarket

Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient

Volume:
$1,333,210

Toulouse FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Toulouse FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$933,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toulouse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,392
N/A
N/A
$45,156
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,892
N/A
N/A
$30,077
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Lorient

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorient

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,787
N/A
N/A
$30,895
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Toulouse FC and FC Lorient.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents three separate YES-resolution markets (one for each outcome: Lorient win, Toulouse win, or tie), while Polymarket offers three binary markets (Lorient win YES/NO, Toulouse win YES/NO, draw YES/NO). This creates fundamentally different settlement structures: Kalshi's markets all resolve YES for any match outcome, whereas Polymarket's markets resolve YES for only one specific outcome each.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, understand that all three markets in this group will resolve YES regardless of the match result—they are outcome-tracking markets, not mutually exclusive bets. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three binary markets will resolve YES and the others NO, making them true mutually exclusive outcome bets. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets move in tandem.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three separate markets, each resolving YES if its named outcome occurs (Lorient win, Toulouse win, or tie). All three markets can resolve YES simultaneously if the match completes. The resolution source is the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no explicit fallback source stated. Key quote: 'If Lorient wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Toulouse wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes'.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Lorient YES/NO, Toulouse YES/NO, draw YES/NO), where exactly one resolves YES and the others resolve NO. The primary resolution source is official Ligue 1 statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is used. Cancellation with no make-up resolves draw markets to YES but Lorient/Toulouse markets to NO. Key quote: 'If FC Lorient wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.