Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 22, 2026, with identical scope and primary resolution source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if Tottenham Hotspur FC wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves NO if Nottingham Forest FC wins or the match ends in a draw.
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw (draw-specific market only).
Market resolves NO if Tottenham does not win (draw or Nottingham victory).
Market resolves YES if Nottingham Forest FC wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves NO if Tottenham wins or the match ends in a draw.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets (Tottenham win, Nottingham win, or draw) will resolve YES.
Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and the final result is determined.
Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the Tottenham/Nottingham win markets resolve NO.
Official Statistics Delay: If official Premier League statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the Premier League or governing body, or upon credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.