TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$36,882
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Tottenham Hotspur FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for any halftime outcome (Tottenham win, Brighton win, or draw), while Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Tottenham leading, Draw, Brighton leading), each resolving independently. This is a scope/market structure divergence, not a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, you are betting that the match will have a halftime result (which is guaranteed), making it a near-certain YES unless the game is canceled. On Polymarket, you can selectively bet on specific halftime outcomes. If you want directional exposure, use Polymarket; if you want to hedge all outcomes, Kalshi's structure is redundant.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution paths: resolves YES if Tottenham wins first half, Brighton wins first half, OR the first half ends in a tie. Quote: 'If Tottenham is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Brighton is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautological YES outcome for any completed halftime result.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Tottenham leading at halftime (YES if Tottenham ahead, NO otherwise), (2) Draw at halftime (YES if tied, NO otherwise), (3) Brighton leading at halftime (YES if Brighton ahead, NO otherwise). Each market resolves independently based on the specific halftime outcome. Quote: 'If Tottenham Hotspur FC wins within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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