TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls
kalshi
polymarket

Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls

Volume:
$124,667

Draw (Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toronto FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,519
N/A
N/A
$3,514
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,931
N/A
N/A
$1,741
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,427
N/A
N/A
$1,106
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Major League Soccer match between Toronto FC (home) and New York Red Bulls (away) scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span total goals scored, match outcome (win/loss/draw), and are sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket prediction platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure different market dimensions (total goals vs. match outcome) with slightly different cancellation handling. No logical contradiction exists; markets are complementary but require separate resolution frameworks.Hero tip: Treat these as two independent prediction markets rather than redundant ones. Use Kalshi for over/under goal strategies and Polymarket for directional outcome bets. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Kalshi markets lack explicit guidance while Polymarket resolves No (or Yes for draw market). Request clarification from Kalshi on cancellation protocol before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four binary markets on total goals thresholds (Over 1.5, Over 2.5, Over 3.5, Over 4.5). Resolution: Yes if combined Toronto FC + New York Red Bulls goals exceed threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets: Toronto FC Win, Draw, New York Red Bulls Win. Resolution: Yes/No based on match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup resolves to No (or Yes for draw market per stated logic).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.