TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls
Volume:
$124,667
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Major League Soccer match between Toronto FC (home) and New York Red Bulls (away) scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span total goals scored, match outcome (win/loss/draw), and are sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket prediction platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket measure different market dimensions (total goals vs. match outcome) with slightly different cancellation handling. No logical contradiction exists; markets are complementary but require separate resolution frameworks.Hero Tip:
Treat these as two independent prediction markets rather than redundant ones. Use Kalshi for over/under goal strategies and Polymarket for directional outcome bets. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Kalshi markets lack explicit guidance while Polymarket resolves No (or Yes for draw market). Request clarification from Kalshi on cancellation protocol before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four binary markets on total goals thresholds (Over 1.5, Over 2.5, Over 3.5, Over 4.5). Resolution: Yes if combined Toronto FC + New York Red Bulls goals exceed threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets: Toronto FC Win, Draw, New York Red Bulls Win. Resolution: Yes/No based on match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup resolves to No (or Yes for draw market per stated logic).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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