TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew
Volume:
$586,241
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Toronto FC and Columbus Crew.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three separate markets that each resolve YES for any outcome (Columbus win, Tie, or Toronto win), creating logical redundancy. Polymarket offers three distinct binary markets (Toronto Win, Draw, Columbus Win) where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match result. The platforms use fundamentally different market structures despite identical resolution timing and source.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's three markets are not mutually exclusive — all three will resolve YES regardless of the match outcome, making them unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive, with exactly one resolving YES. If you want to bet on a specific outcome (Toronto win, draw, or Columbus win), use Polymarket. Kalshi's structure appears to be a data entry error or represents a different product type (e.g., 'Will the match occur?' rather than 'Who will win?').Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three separate markets, each stating 'If [outcome] wins/occurs, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means all three markets resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the actual match result. Key quote: 'If Columbus wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual outcome. Toronto Win market resolves YES only if Toronto wins, NO otherwise. Draw market resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Columbus Win market resolves YES only if Columbus wins, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Toronto FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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