TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Top Spotify artist in February?

Volume:
$3,085,522
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

These markets ask which artist will have the most monthly listeners on Spotify as of February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Kalshi presents this as a binary Yes/No for each of 11 named artists, while Polymarket offers individual Yes/No markets for 22 named artists plus an 'another artist' catch-all. Both resolve to the same underlying fact: the artist with the highest monthly listener count on that date and time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution criteria: the artist with the most monthly listeners on Spotify at February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, with alphabetical tie-breaking and fallback to most recent data if Spotify is down.

Primary resolution logic:

Spotify public artist profiles - monthly listener count metric

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the artist with the highest monthly listener count on Spotify as displayed on February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Only primary artist profiles qualify; features and collaborations under other artist profiles do not count
  • In case of exact tie for monthly listeners, the artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order resolves as the winner
  • If Spotify is unavailable at the specified time, use the most recent available data prior to that moment
  • All Yes/No markets across both platforms resolve to the same outcome based on this single fact

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Spotify Downtime: If Spotify is down at 12:00 PM ET on February 28, 2026, resolution uses the most recent available monthly listener data from before the outage.
  • Exact Tie: If two or more artists have identical monthly listener counts, the artist whose name comes first alphabetically is declared the winner.
  • Featured vs Primary: Only the primary artist profile monthly listener count qualifies. Listener counts from features or collaborations on other artist profiles do not contribute to an artist's total.
  • Kalshi vs Polymarket Coverage: Kalshi covers 11 named artists (all resolve Yes if that artist wins). Polymarket covers 22 named artists plus an 'another artist' catch-all. If an artist not listed on Kalshi wins, Polymarket's 'another artist' market resolves Yes while all Kalshi markets resolve No.

Timing:

Resolution occurs on February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET based on Spotify data snapshot at that moment (or most recent available if Spotify is down).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.