TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
Volume:
$1,170,375
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Toledo Rockets and Miami (OH) RedHawks scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at two different lines (-7.5 and -8.5), and the total points over/under at 162.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Miami (OH) win OR Toledo win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline without platform clarification. The spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and safe to trade. Use Polymarket moneyline as the reliable reference for binary winner resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Miami (OH) wins, resolves Yes. If Toledo wins, resolves Yes. This is logically impossible as both outcomes cannot both be Yes. Quote: 'If Miami (OH) wins the Toledo at Miami (OH) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toledo wins the Toledo at Miami (OH) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to either Toledo Rockets or Miami (OH) RedHawks based on final score winner, with proper binary mutually exclusive outcomes. Includes cancellation clause: 50-50 resolution if game canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Toledo Rockets win, the market will resolve to Toledo Rockets. If the Miami (OH) RedHawks win, the market will resolve to Miami (OH) RedHawks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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