TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
kalshi
polymarket

Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Volume:
$1,170,375

Miami (OH)

 - Kalshi

Miami (OH) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami (OH)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$745,810
N/A
N/A
$541,220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364,936
N/A
N/A
$225,879
Settled
No
polymarket

Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 162.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Toledo Rockets and Miami (OH) RedHawks scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at two different lines (-7.5 and -8.5), and the total points over/under at 162.5.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Miami (OH) win OR Toledo win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline without platform clarification. The spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and safe to trade. Use Polymarket moneyline as the reliable reference for binary winner resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Miami (OH) wins, resolves Yes. If Toledo wins, resolves Yes. This is logically impossible as both outcomes cannot both be Yes. Quote: 'If Miami (OH) wins the Toledo at Miami (OH) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toledo wins the Toledo at Miami (OH) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to either Toledo Rockets or Miami (OH) RedHawks based on final score winner, with proper binary mutually exclusive outcomes. Includes cancellation clause: 50-50 resolution if game canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Toledo Rockets win, the market will resolve to Toledo Rockets. If the Miami (OH) RedHawks win, the market will resolve to Miami (OH) RedHawks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.