TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons (W)
Volume:
$39,878
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Toledo Rockets and Bowling Green Falcons scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Toledo win and Bowling Green win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary mutually-exclusive event. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the market should resolve Yes only for Toledo, only for Bowling Green, or if this is a documentation error. Polymarket's binary structure is clear and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Toledo win resolves to Toledo Rockets, Bowling Green win resolves to Bowling Green Falcons. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-YES resolution stated: If Toledo wins = Yes, If Bowling Green wins = Yes. This creates logical impossibility since only one team can win. No edge case handling documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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