TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons
Volume:
$142,421
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between the Toledo Rockets and Bowling Green Falcons scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at Bowling Green. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (Bowling Green -3.5), and total points (Over/Under 150.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Toledo win and Bowling Green win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline contract in its current form. Focus on Polymarket's well-defined moneyline, spread, and total markets, which all follow standard resolution logic. Alert PredictionHero support to flag the Kalshi contract for correction before the game date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Toledo wins, resolve Yes. If Bowling Green wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to Toledo Rockets if Toledo wins, or Bowling Green Falcons if Bowling Green wins. Spread market resolves to Bowling Green Falcons if they win by 4+ points, otherwise Toledo Rockets. Total market resolves to Over if combined score is 151+, otherwise Under. All three markets follow standard, resolvable logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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