TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashima Antlers
Volume:
$582,690
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Tōkyō Verdy and Kashima Antlers.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES on game cancellation, while the win markets resolve NO on cancellation. This creates an asymmetric payout structure. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity about its fallback behavior.Hero Tip:
Monitor official J-League communications for any cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will receive YES payouts while win position holders receive NO payouts, creating a cross-platform arbitrage risk. Kalshi's resolution path is unclear and should be confirmed with the platform before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Win markets (Kashima and Tōkyō Verdy) resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Single exhaustive three-outcome market (Tie, Kashima, Tokyo V) with no explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly relies on standard sports market practice, but fallback behavior is not documented in the source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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