TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
Volume:
$9,024,852
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 9:30PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets (questions 1-2) resolve YES for both possible outcomes (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes these markets fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets use standard binary resolution logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline markets entirely — they contain a logical error where both 'Houston wins' and 'Minnesota wins' resolve to YES, which is impossible. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which use proper binary resolution: Timberwolves win resolves to 'Timberwolves', Rockets win resolves to 'Rockets'.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Both moneyline outcomes (Houston wins OR Minnesota wins) are stated to resolve to YES, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Houston wins the Minnesota at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the Minnesota at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market cannot distinguish between the two teams and is unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary logic: Moneyline and all derivative markets use mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to Timberwolves. If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to Rockets.' All 40 Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) follow this consistent binary or threshold-based logic with no contradictions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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