TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
Volume:
$2,745,938
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 30, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Dallas Mavericks in an NBA game. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, total points scored, and second-half results. All markets reference the official NBA final score including overtime periods as the authoritative settlement source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on second-half regulation performance only (any outcome = YES), while Polymarket resolves on full-game final score including overtime. Kalshi's market is logically incoherent and unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's second-half market entirely — it resolves YES regardless of outcome (Dallas wins, Minnesota wins, or tie all trigger YES). This is a data integrity failure. All trading should reference Polymarket's full-game moneyline, spreads, and player props, which use standard NBA resolution (official final score including overtime).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Dallas wins the second half, YES if Minnesota wins the second half, or YES if there is a tie in the second half. This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome triggers YES, making the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Dallas is the winner of the second half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota is the winner of the second half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA resolution: Resolves based on full-game final score including all overtime periods. Moneyline resolves to 'Timberwolves' if Timberwolves win, 'Mavericks' if Mavericks win. Spreads resolve based on final margin. Player props resolve based on official NBA box score for the complete game. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods' and 'The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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