This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Tigres de la UANL and CF Monterrey scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Tigres win, a Monterrey win, or a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation resolution. Polymarket specifies conditional No/Yes outcomes if the game is canceled with no makeup; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and implies all outcomes resolve Yes. Additionally, Polymarket explicitly handles postponement (market stays open), while Kalshi is silent on postponement.
Hero Tip:
Before settlement, confirm with both platforms whether a canceled game with no makeup game triggers Polymarket's explicit cancellation rules or defaults to Kalshi's implicit Yes resolution. The Polymarket draw market (Yes on cancellation) creates a one-way hedge against Kalshi's draw market. Request written clarification on postponement handling from Kalshi.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation and postponement clauses. Monterrey win and Tigres win resolve No if canceled with no makeup; draw resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps market open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (Monterrey/Tigres) and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw).
Kalshi: Three markets (Tigres win, draw, Monterrey win) all resolve Yes based on match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'then the market resolves to Yes' with no conditional language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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