TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara - More Markets
Volume:
$863,149
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX match between Tigres de la UANL and CD Guadalajara scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (±1.5 and ±2.5 goal margins), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 thresholds), and both teams to score. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for any match outcome (win, loss, or tie), making them logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's six markets use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic based on final score. The Kalshi markets contain a data integrity failure that renders them unsuitable for trading.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets in this group. All three Kalshi markets are guaranteed to resolve YES regardless of the match result, which violates basic prediction market logic. Trade only the Polymarket markets (O/U 2.5, O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5, O/U 1.5, Spread Tigres -1.5, Spread Tigres -2.5, Spread Guadalajara -2.5, Spread Guadalajara -1.5), which use coherent, mutually exclusive outcomes based on official Liga MX final scores.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets (Tigres win, Guadalajara win, Tie) resolve YES for any outcome. Market 1 states 'If Tigres wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; Market 2 states 'If Guadalajara wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; Market 3 states 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, all three markets will always resolve YES, creating a logical contradiction and data integrity failure.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Six markets use mutually exclusive, coherent resolution rules. Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goal thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5); Spread markets resolve based on goal-differential thresholds. Each market has exactly one YES and one NO outcome. All resolve according to official Liga MX final score published on ligamx.net within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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