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400,720

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Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara - More Markets

Volume:
$863,149

Tigres

 - Kalshi

Tigres - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tigres

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$202,645
N/A
N/A
$142,470
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guadalajara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$473,743
N/A
N/A
$384,279
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111,140
N/A
N/A
$84,566
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Guadalajara (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Guadalajara (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers a Liga MX match between Tigres de la UANL and CD Guadalajara scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (±1.5 and ±2.5 goal margins), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 thresholds), and both teams to score. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for any match outcome (win, loss, or tie), making them logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's six markets use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic based on final score. The Kalshi markets contain a data integrity failure that renders them unsuitable for trading.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi markets in this group. All three Kalshi markets are guaranteed to resolve YES regardless of the match result, which violates basic prediction market logic. Trade only the Polymarket markets (O/U 2.5, O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5, O/U 1.5, Spread Tigres -1.5, Spread Tigres -2.5, Spread Guadalajara -2.5, Spread Guadalajara -1.5), which use coherent, mutually exclusive outcomes based on official Liga MX final scores.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets (Tigres win, Guadalajara win, Tie) resolve YES for any outcome. Market 1 states 'If Tigres wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; Market 2 states 'If Guadalajara wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; Market 3 states 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, all three markets will always resolve YES, creating a logical contradiction and data integrity failure.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Six markets use mutually exclusive, coherent resolution rules. Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goal thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5); Spread markets resolve based on goal-differential thresholds. Each market has exactly one YES and one NO outcome. All resolve according to official Liga MX final score published on ligamx.net within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.