TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Thunder vs. Wizards
Volume:
$9,132,729
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 5:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Thunder win OR Wizards win), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally incompatible with Polymarket's binary outcome structure. Polymarket correctly implements standard sports betting logic where only one outcome resolves to the named resolution value.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Its resolution rule ('If Oklahoma City wins...then YES' AND 'If Washington wins...then YES') guarantees YES regardless of game outcome, violating basic market logic. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are resolvable and internally consistent. Stick to Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction in its moneyline market. Both possible outcomes (Thunder win and Wizards win) are mapped to YES resolution: 'If Oklahoma City wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Washington wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unresolvable. All spread markets on Kalshi are absent, and no totals/over-under markets exist.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Implements 26 distinct, resolvable markets covering moneyline (Thunder vs. Wizards), spreads (Thunder -10.5 through -24.5), full-game totals (O/U 228.5 through 254.5), first-half moneyline, first-half spreads, and first-half totals. Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to Thunder. If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to Wizards.' All thresholds are clearly defined and logically consistent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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