TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Thunder vs. Magic
Volume:
$7,840,082
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Orlando Magic for an NBA game on March 17, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET. The Thunder are favored by approximately 5–17.5 points depending on the specific spread market. Resolution will be determined by the final score including overtime, with official NBA box scores as the authoritative source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed market specifications with clear resolution criteria across 66 distinct markets (moneyline, spreads, player props, totals, first-half markets). Kalshi provides only a single binary market with incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify the actual game outcome determination method, making it fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as currently specified. The Kalshi market resolves YES if 'Orlando wins OR Oklahoma City wins'—which means it resolves YES in all possible outcomes, rendering it logically incoherent. Polymarket markets are fully resolvable and should be your primary reference. Clarify with Kalshi whether their market is intended to be a moneyline (one winner only) or if the specification is an error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket specifies 66 separate, well-defined markets covering moneyline (Thunder vs. Magic winner), multiple spread tiers (-2.5 to -17.5), player props (points, rebounds, assists for 13+ players), game totals (210.5 to 225.5), and first-half markets. Each market has explicit resolution criteria, threshold values, and tie-breaking rules. Example: 'This market will resolve to Thunder if the Thunder win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Magic.' Source is official NBA box score on NBA.com.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi specifies a single market with logically contradictory resolution: 'If Orlando wins the Oklahoma City at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This resolves YES in all possible outcomes (either team wins), making the market unresolvable. No resolution source, threshold, or tie-breaking logic is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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