TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Thunder vs. Clippers
Volume:
$12,748,470
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 8 at 10:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions across 46 distinct markets with detailed resolution criteria, thresholds, and edge-case handling. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify how the market resolves if the game is postponed, canceled, or ends in a tie—creating a fundamental data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market without clarification from Kalshi support. Polymarket's markets are fully specified and resolvable; Kalshi's single market is ambiguous and may resolve incorrectly or be subject to discretionary interpretation. If you hold Kalshi positions, request explicit resolution rules for postponement and cancellation scenarios before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (comprehensive): Polymarket defines 46 distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads, over/unders, first-half variants, and player props. Each market includes explicit resolution criteria, threshold definitions, overtime handling, postponement rules ('market will remain open until the game has been completed'), cancellation rules ('market will resolve 50-50'), and player inactivity clauses ('market will resolve No'). Example: 'This market will resolve to Thunder if the Thunder win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Clippers. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to Clippers.' All markets reference official NBA box score as the resolution source.
- Kalshi: Outlier (incomplete): Kalshi provides a single binary market with minimal specification: 'If Los Angeles C wins the Oklahoma City at Los Angeles C professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City at Los Angeles C professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This definition is logically incoherent (both outcomes resolve to Yes) and omits critical resolution rules for postponement, cancellation, overtime, and tie scenarios that Polymarket explicitly addresses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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