TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Thunder vs. Celtics
Volume:
$7,168,336
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 7:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers multiple over/under markets on combined team scoring with thresholds ranging from 203.5 to 233.5 points, while Polymarket provides specific over/under markets at fixed thresholds (217.5, 218.5, etc.) plus moneyline, spread, and player prop markets. The platforms diverge in market structure and granularity rather than core resolution logic, but the Kalshi markets lack explicit threshold specifications in their descriptions that would allow precise settlement.Hero Tip:
If trading on Kalshi's combined scoring markets, note that each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 203.5, 206.5, 209.5, etc.) and will resolve independently. On Polymarket, the over/under markets are more granular and clearly labeled by threshold. Ensure you are betting on the exact threshold you intend, as a single combined score will resolve multiple Kalshi markets differently depending on which threshold it exceeds.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 11 separate combined scoring markets with thresholds of 203.5, 206.5, 209.5, 212.5, 215.5, 218.5, 221.5, 224.5, 227.5, 230.5, and 233.5 points. Each market independently resolves YES if the combined score exceeds its specific threshold. The resolution source is the final score of the Oklahoma City at Boston game on March 25, 2026, including overtime. Key quote: 'If the teams in the Oklahoma City at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026 collectively score more than [threshold] points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple market types including moneyline (Thunder vs. Celtics winner), spread markets (Thunder and Celtics at various point spreads), over/under markets at thresholds of 217.5, 218.5, 219.5, 220.5, 221.5, 222.5, 223.5, 224.5, 226.5, 227.5, 228.5, 230.5, 231.5, 232.5, 233.5, 234.5, 235.5, and 236.5 points, first-half markets, and individual player prop markets. For over/under markets, resolution is based on whether the combined score is strictly greater than the stated threshold (e.g., 219+ for the 218.5 line). Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Thunder and Celtics combine to score 219 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 219, this market will resolve to Under.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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