This event group covers a men's college basketball game between The Citadel Bulldogs and Chattanooga Mocs scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (Chattanooga -6.5 and -7.5), and over/under totals (145.5 and 147.5 points).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Chattanooga win and Citadel win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and unable to differentiate between winners.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Use only Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals, which employ standard binary and threshold logic. All Polymarket markets handle postponements by remaining open and cancellations by resolving 50-50.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Chattanooga win and Citadel win, creating a tautology. Quote: If Chattanooga wins the game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Citadel wins the game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to The Citadel Bulldogs if Citadel wins, or Chattanooga Mocs if Chattanooga wins. Spreads resolve based on margin (Chattanooga -6.5 requires 7+ point win; Chattanooga -7.5 requires 8+ point win). Totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (146 for 145.5 line; 148 for 147.5 line). All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup.
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