This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Texas Tech Red Raiders and LSU Tigers scheduled for March 22, 2026, at LSU's home venue. The market resolves based on the final outcome of the game, with either team's victory triggering a Yes resolution.
Kalshi resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Texas Tech win OR LSU win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Texas Tech Red Raiders' or 'LSU Tigers' based on the game outcome, with clear tie-breaking and cancellation rules.
Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi — the market rules state it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, meaning there is no NO outcome possible. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket is the only tradeable market in this group; it resolves to the winning team name with standard sports settlement logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES if Texas Tech wins AND ALSO resolves YES if LSU wins, creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution. This violates binary market structure. Key quote: 'If Texas Tech wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Outlier: Market resolves to the name of the winning team ('Texas Tech Red Raiders' or 'LSU Tigers'), with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). This is standard winner-take-all sports settlement. Key quote: 'If the Texas Tech Red Raiders win, the market will resolve to Texas Tech Red Raiders. If the LSU Tigers win, the market will resolve to LSU Tigers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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