TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Volume:
$19,590,085
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Texas Tech Red Raiders and Alabama Crimson Tide on March 22 at 12:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on a binary win/loss outcome for either team, while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets (moneyline, spread, over/under) with different thresholds and timing specifications. Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally different from Polymarket's granular market suite.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market resolves YES if either team wins (a guaranteed YES outcome), making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets allow precise outcome selection. Do not compare Kalshi's binary structure directly to any single Polymarket market; instead, recognize that Kalshi guarantees a YES resolution regardless of game outcome, while Polymarket markets have distinct win/loss conditions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market resolves YES if Alabama wins OR Texas Tech wins the game scheduled for March 22, 2026. This creates a tautological structure where the market resolves YES in all realistic game outcomes. Key quote: 'If Alabama wins the Texas Tech at Alabama men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech wins the Texas Tech at Alabama men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple independent markets with specific resolution criteria: a moneyline market resolving to either 'Texas Tech Red Raiders' or 'Alabama Crimson Tide' based on game winner; spread markets (Texas Tech -1.5, Alabama -1.5, Alabama -10.5 through -28.5) resolving based on point differential; and over/under markets (160.5, 161.5, 162.5, 163.5, 164.5, 165.5) resolving based on combined score thresholds. Key quote: 'If the Texas Tech Red Raiders win, the market will resolve to Texas Tech Red Raiders. If the Alabama Crimson Tide win, the market will resolve to Alabama Crimson Tide.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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