TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Volume:
$832,493
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Texas State Bobcats and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -2.5 and -3.5, and over/under totals at 134.5, 135.5, and 136.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Texas St. win and Louisiana win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate on a different platform with independent resolution mechanics.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline market is critically flawed and should not be traded in its current form. Use Polymarket as your authoritative source for all resolution logic. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi before engaging with their moneyline contract.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Texas State Bobcats if they win, Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns if they win, or 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Spread markets resolve based on final point differential (3+ or 4+ points). Over/Under markets resolve based on combined total (135+, 136+, or 137+ points). All use final score including overtime. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Texas St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisiana wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as written. No cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Texas St. wins the Texas St. at Louisiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisiana wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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