TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Austin Peay Governors (W)
Volume:
$55,581
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NCAA Division I women's college basketball game between Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros and Austin Peay Governors scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market will resolve to the winning team, with specific provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for either team winning (both outcomes trigger YES), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two distinct outcomes based on which team wins, with proper handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market entirely—it contains a fatal logical flaw where both possible game outcomes (Austin Peay wins OR UT Rio Grande Valley wins) resolve to YES, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable option and should be used for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES regardless of which team wins. Both resolution criteria state 'the market resolves to Yes'—if Austin Peay wins, YES; if UT Rio Grande Valley wins, YES. This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome triggers YES, making the market unresolvable and unsuitable for trading.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Market resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on final score. If Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros win, resolves to 'Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros'; if Austin Peay Governors win, resolves to 'Austin Peay Governors'. Includes proper edge case handling: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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